Stricker fires 63, leads by 5 at Kapalua
Golf Betting Lines
01/07/2012 - Kapalua, HI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Steve Stricker is playing his second straight event as the highest-ranked player in the field.
And it showed on Saturday.
Stricker fired a 10-under 63 in the second round to grab a five-stroke lead after two rounds of the season-opening Hyundai Tournament of Champions.
"It was a good round, a good start. You know, we're halfway through. We've got a long ways to go yet," Stricker said in a televised interview.
The Wisconsin native completed 36 holes at 15-under-par 131.
Stricker, the sixth-ranked player in the world, was also the highest ranked player at the Chevron World Challenge in December. He struggled that week finishing 16th in an 18-player field.
However, Stricker has burst out of the gates in 2012. He missed the Kapalua course record by a single stroke and was two off the tournament's 36-hole scoring mark thanks to a round with an eagle and eight birdies.
Webb Simpson, a two-time winner last year, posted his second straight 68 and is alone in second place at minus-10.
Kevin Na was even-par through 26 holes, but played the next 10 holes in nine- under par, including back-to-back eagles on 17 and 18. His nine-under 64 moved Na into third place at nine-under-par 137.
First-round leader and defending champion Jonathan Byrd (71) and Martin Laird (70) share fourth at minus-eight.
Stricker got his bogey-free round going with a five-foot birdie putt at the third. He two-putted for birdie on the par-five fifth to grab a share of the lead at seven-under.
After Simpson birdied the seventh to move ahead, Stricker matched him with a birdie of his own at No. 7. Simpson slipped one back with a bogey at the eighth, then Stricker took control.
Stricker, who has seven wins over the last three years, tapped in a three- footer for birdie at nine and made it two in a row with a seven-footer at 10.
Armed with a three-stroke lead, Stricker parred the next three holes. After Laird moved within two, Stricker drained a seven-foot birdie try on the 14th. He followed with a 10-foot eagle effort on No. 15 to push his lead to four over Na, who had a stellar finish.
Stricker wasn't finished either. Despite a long delay on No. 17 as Laird, his playing partner, lost his tee shot and had to go back to the tee, Stricker played the hole perfectly.
He found the short grass off the tee, then dropped his second shot within 13 feet of the cup. Stricker ran that putt in for birdie, and closed with a three-foot birdie effort at the last to push his lead to five.
"Golf is never easy, but I had it going today," Stricker said on television. "It's always fun when you get rounds like this going. I felt like I was going to make every putt I looked at for a while. And I gave myself a lot of opportunities, which is key."
Simpson did all of his scoring in bunches. He drained back-to-back birdie tries at two and three. He traded a birdie for a bogey from the seventh.
The 26-year-old Simpson birdied three of the last four holes to jump into second place.
Before Stricker grabbed his big lead, Na was the story with his stellar finish. He bogeyed the fourth, but came right back with a birdie on No. 5. From the ninth to the 15th, he had five birdies in that seven-hole span.
Na, who won in Las Vegas last year, holed out for eagle from over 200 yards on the 17th. He found the green at the long, par-five 18th and poured in a 10- footer for eagle to become the first player to finish eagle-eagle at Kapalua.
"That was exciting. That was a lot of fun," Na said in a TV interview. "I was getting off to a slow start today. I birdied nine to get it under par, and then all of a sudden, the back nine I started getting it together."
NOTES: Byrd is the only previous winner of this event in the field this week...Just three players in 27-man field shot over par in round two...PGA Champion Keegan Bradley, the lone reigning major champ in the field, managed a one-under 72 and is tied for seventh at minus-five, while reigning FedExCup champ Bill Haas is alone in 24th after a pair of even-par rounds...Rory Sabbatini was assessed a two-stroke penalty for being late for his tee time, but rallied for a three-under 70 Saturday.
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Horse Betting
(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).
The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.
"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."
Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.
"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."
When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:
CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.
DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.
PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.
You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.
"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."
Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.
(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)
Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."
But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."
Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."
Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."
All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.
In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.
"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."
To visit this horse betting site go to MySportsbook.com for all your horse racing betting needs.
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